2024 Election Forecast 538
2024 Election Forecast 538. The ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ultimately end up with a set of several thousand potential. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 election forecast from 538. The projected total cost of the election according to opensecrets, a nonprofit that tracks campaign finance and lobbying figures.